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Decisions, Probability and Beliefs: beware Mickey Mouse probability

LSE public lecture

Standard social science approaches to probability are either 1) at best severely incomplete (enough to be unusable), 2) inadequate, or 3) not even wrong. The presentation shows the problems of probability and the various distortions we encounter in real life.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is author of The Black Swan and Fooled by Randomness. He is a former mathematical trader and the former Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst.


Professor Nassim Nicholas Taleb | talks


Date and Time:

13 October 2008 at 7:00 pm


1 hour 30 minutes



Sheikh Zayed Theatre, London School of Economics
New Academic Building
Lincoln's Inn Fields

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Organised by:

London School of Economics & Political Science
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Available from:

This event is free and open to all with no ticket required. Entry is on a first come, first served basis. For more information, email events@lse.ac.uk or phone 020 7955 6043.

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