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David Spiegelhalter will talk about some selected modern applications of Bayes theorem, such as catching doping athletes, judging the impact of new technologies, and of course gambling.
The Reverend Thomas Bayes, a non-conformist clergyman left behind two revolutionary ideas when he died in 1761: how uncertainty about current or future states of the world can be expressed as a probability distribution, and a mechanism – Bayes theorem - to revise our probabilities in the light of experience. David Spiegelhalter will talk about some selected modern applications of these concepts, such as catching doping athletes, predicting volcanic eruptions, judging the impact of new technologies, and of course gambling.
Speaker(s): |
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Date and Time: |
27 April 2012 at 8:00 pm |
Duration: | 1 hour 30 minutes |
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Venue: |
The Royal Institution of Great Britain |
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Tickets: |
£15 |
Available from: |
www.rigb.org |
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