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The Signal and the Noise: the art and science of prediction

LSE Media Alumni Group public lecture


In this age of information-overload, Silver argues it is more difficult than ever to distinguish a true "signal" from the noisy universe of data. Silver shows that by embracing uncertainty, and being alert to the role that motivations and biases can play in warping predictions, we will be less likely to repeat the mistakes of the past.

Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. Silver graduated with Honors with a Bachelor of Arts degree in economics from the University of Chicago. He spent his third year at the London School of Economics and Political Science. His new book is 'The Signal and the Noise: the art and science of prediction'.

The LSE Media Group is a special interest group set up for and run by LSE alumni who work or have an interest in the media industry. It is active in the UK and in the US. The Group is unusual in its embracing definition of the media to include advertising, journalism, public relations, new media, entertainment, publishing, marketing and other creative interests.

If you are an interested in learning more about the LSE Media Group please email alumni@lse.ac.uk.


Speaker(s):

Nate Silver | talks
Professor Craig Calhoun | talks

 

Date and Time:

29 April 2013 at 6:30 pm

Duration:

1 hour 30 minutes

 

Venue:

Old Theatre
Old Building
London School of Economics and Political Science
London
WC2A 2AE


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Organised by:

London School of Economics & Political Science
See other talks organised by London School of Economics & Political Science...

 

Tickets:

FREE

Available from:

Additional Information:

This event is free and open to all however a ticket is required, only one ticket per person can be requested.

Members of the public, LSE staff, students and alumni can request one ticket via the online ticket request form which will be live on www.lse.ac.uk/events after 10pm on Monday 22 April until at least 12noon on Tuesday 23 April. If at 12noon we have received more requests than there are tickets available, the line will be closed, and tickets will be allocated on a random basis to those requests received. If we have received fewer requests than tickets available, the ticket line will stay open until all tickets have been allocated.

LSE students and staff are also able to collect one ticket per person from the New Academic Building SU shop, located on the Kingsway side of the building from 10.00am on Tuesday 23 April. These tickets are available on a first come, first serve basis.

Please note, we cannot control exactly when the ticket line will upload, and publishing delays do sometimes occur. As the system now allows requests to be made over a long period of time, if when you visit this page the ticket line is not live, we would advise revisiting the page at a later time.

For any queries email events@lse.ac.uk

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