Professor Dorothy Edgington - "Three Grades of Uncertainty"

Types of uncertainty and situations leading to error if close attention is not paid to the structure of uncertain judgements.

Tonight's talk will be titled "Three Grades of Uncertainty" in which Professor Edgington will distinguish different kinds of uncertainty, and look at some philosophical issues about which it is easy to go wrong if one does not pay close attention to the structure of uncertain judgements. These include the explanation and justification of behaviour, deductive inference, conditional judgements, and judgements using vague terms.

Dorothy Edgington is the current Waynflete Professor of Metaphysical Philosophy at the University of Oxford. She is internationally known for her work in applying probabilistic thinking to various philosophical problems, especially the analysis of conditionals and of vagueness. She has also published seminal papers on logical issues in the debate between realism and anti-realism. Her current work includes a book called 'Towards Reasonable Doubt', on probability, possibility, conditionals and vagueness.

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